Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 5.998357e-01 0.783642 0.992440 1.243980 1.535623 1.860119 2.245428
2025-03-16 3.405528e-01 0.559928 0.845252 1.228543 1.715410 2.299644 3.039963
2025-03-23 2.195746e-01 0.455486 0.803891 1.316936 2.016316 2.902663 4.076808
2025-03-30 1.363447e-01 0.366464 0.753819 1.375173 2.275672 3.469223 5.106586
2025-04-06 7.920101e-02 0.288590 0.694130 1.400994 2.484001 3.976331 6.084418
2025-04-13 3.858912e-02 0.211779 0.608590 1.364959 2.590678 4.344236 6.890205
2025-04-20 1.896905e-02 0.165466 0.561164 1.377158 2.762286 4.803911 7.831715
2025-04-27 8.274995e-03 0.129838 0.520965 1.390854 2.931085 5.261691 8.781774
2025-05-04 2.127169e-03 0.092229 0.457590 1.346345 2.996112 5.564482 9.519591
2025-05-11 1.955888e-04 0.062930 0.397977 1.294155 3.037910 5.828007 10.203793
2025-05-18 4.763805e-07 0.047418 0.370031 1.301290 3.179337 6.245688 11.118844
2025-05-25 NaN 0.031255 0.325319 1.259739 3.226538 6.514205 11.818854
2025-06-01 NaN 0.027016 0.329209 1.337406 3.504075 7.166560 13.118146
2025-06-08 NaN 0.018695 0.303791 1.336741 3.633169 7.585098 14.079765
2025-06-15 NaN 0.017201 0.316728 1.438810 3.966762 8.347253 15.577277
2025-06-22 NaN 0.014228 0.316645 1.505206 4.233404 9.006480 16.931465
2025-06-29 NaN 0.010443 0.304418 1.535070 4.428141 9.551284 18.121022
2025-07-06 NaN 0.005844 0.271830 1.497955 4.483135 9.862239 18.955944
2025-07-13 NaN 0.003709 0.257201 1.511595 4.642195 10.351881 20.074871
2025-07-20 NaN 0.002237 0.244033 1.526523 4.803347 10.847532 21.209672
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000812 0.214779 1.479269 4.826213 11.103325 21.971126
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000165 0.186024 1.423699 4.824504 11.313486 22.661690
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000034 0.174924 1.431356 4.964187 11.775711 23.759984